Oklahoma City, Okla. – A warmer-than-normal start to March is setting up across Oklahoma, with mild air favoring mostly rain from Sunday, March 1, through Thursday, March 5.
According to NOAA’s 6-10 day outlook issued Monday, Oklahoma is favored to see above-normal temperatures during the March 1-5 stretch, while precipitation trends near to slightly above seasonal averages across the southern Plains. That warmer pattern significantly reduces the likelihood of widespread snow, with rain expected to be the dominant precipitation type statewide.
In central Oklahoma, including Oklahoma City, Norman and Edmond, passing rain showers are the most likely outcome as systems move through the region. Periods of steadier rainfall could create slick stretches along Interstate 35 and Interstate 40, particularly during peak commute hours.
In northeastern Oklahoma, including Tulsa and Stillwater, rain should also dominate, though a brief rain-snow mix cannot be entirely ruled out in far northern areas during overnight hours if temperatures dip. Any mixing would likely be short-lived with little to no accumulation.
Southwestern communities such as Lawton and Altus are expected to remain predominantly rainy with mild overnight temperatures limiting wintry concerns.
Drivers should remain alert for reduced visibility and ponding on roadways during heavier showers, especially in low-lying or poor-drainage areas. With temperatures trending above normal, early March will feel more like early spring across much of Oklahoma.
Additional refinements are expected later this week as the March 1-5 window approaches and system timing becomes clearer.
