Tulsa, OK – Heavy rainfall and a low-end severe storm threat will affect eastern Oklahoma and western Arkansas from tonight into Monday, according to the National Weather Service in Tulsa. While the main hazard is widespread rain, forecasters caution that a marginally severe storm is possible near the Red River on Monday.
According to the agency, the heaviest rainfall is expected in far southeast Oklahoma and western Arkansas, where storm totals are forecast to reach 1 to 3 inches, with localized amounts up to 4 inches. Tonight’s rainfall alone may produce up to 1 inch south of I-40 in eastern Oklahoma, with additional totals expected through Monday.
The Excessive Rainfall Outlook highlights a Marginal to Slight risk (up to 25% chance) of excessive rainfall, especially southeast of I-44 and in areas stretching from Durant to Paris and Fort Smith. Forecasters note that saturated soils and repeated rounds of rain may contribute to ponding on roads and localized flooding in low-lying areas.
A Marginal Risk (Level 1) for severe storms exists on Monday, particularly from late morning into the afternoon. The severe threat remains limited, with hail up to quarter size and wind gusts around 60 mph as the primary concerns. The tornado threat is listed as nil to limited, but residents should still monitor updates as conditions evolve.
Travelers should expect periods of heavy rain, reduced visibility, and possible water-covered roads. The National Weather Service urges residents to have multiple ways to receive warnings and to stay alert for any localized flooding.





