Columbus, OH – Ohio residents may need to brace for a snowier and stormier winter than usual. The 2025-26 Winter Weather Outlook from the National Weather Service (NWS) suggests the Buckeye State faces an elevated risk of heavy snow events and potentially above-average snowfall totals between December and February.
According to the NWS Climate Prediction Center, weak La Niña conditions are expected to develop this fall, gradually transitioning to a neutral phase by mid-winter. Historically, La Niña winters often bring colder-than-average air to the Midwest and increase the odds of snow-producing systems tracking through the Ohio Valley. This pattern raises the likelihood of more frequent and stronger snowstorms across the state.
However, meteorologists caution that long-range outlooks are never set in stone. Several short-term climate patterns, including the Arctic Oscillation (AO) and Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO), can rapidly shift weather trends. These so-called “wild cards” influence storm intensity and timing, meaning Ohio could swing between calm, dry periods and sudden, intense snowfall within the same season.
Still, the risk of above-average snowfall remains significant, particularly in northern and central Ohio. Lake-effect snow off Lake Erie could add to totals in cities like Cleveland and Toledo, while storm systems moving through the Ohio Valley could deliver heavy snow to Columbus, Dayton, and Cincinnati. Even southern Ohio, which often sees more rain-snow mix events, could face disruptive winter storms.
Historical data reinforces the wide range of possible outcomes. In past La Niña and neutral winters, Ohio has experienced seasons with modest totals around 30 inches as well as winters exceeding 70 inches in northern counties. The unpredictability underscores why officials urge preparation regardless of final numbers.
Travel impacts are expected to be one of the most significant challenges. Interstates including I-70, I-71, I-75, and the Ohio Turnpike (I-80/I-90) are likely to see closures or extended delays during snowstorms. Commuters, truck drivers, and holiday travelers should plan for potential disruptions, especially in January and February when storm activity historically peaks.
The official winter forecast will be released October 16, but emergency management agencies recommend Ohioans prepare now. That means checking furnaces, insulating homes, stocking up on rock salt and snow shovels, and keeping emergency kits in vehicles.
