New York City, NY — New York City could face a high-impact winter storm this weekend, with snowfall totals ranging from a few inches to as much as 24 inches, depending on the exact track of the storm system.
According to the National Weather Service, forecasters are now down to two primary storm scenarios, both of which would bring snow to the New York City area but with very different outcomes.
In Scenario 1, the storm tracks farther south before redeveloping offshore. Under this outcome, New York City would remain on the northern edge of the heavier snow, resulting in lighter accumulations generally between 2 and 6 inches. While still disruptive, impacts would be more manageable and focused mainly on travel delays.
In Scenario 2, the storm tracks farther north through the Appalachians before intensifying near the coast. This would place New York City much closer to the storm’s core, significantly increasing snowfall potential. In this scenario, 12 to 24 inches of snow would be possible across the city, with the heaviest bands capable of producing near-blizzard conditions at times.
Snow is expected to begin late Saturday night, intensify Sunday, and continue into Monday, with cold temperatures allowing snow to accumulate efficiently on roads, sidewalks, and transit infrastructure. The National Weather Service warned that travel conditions could become extremely difficult or impossible, especially if the heavier-snow scenario materializes.
Current guidance shows probabilities exceeding 60–70% for at least 6 inches of snow in the New York City area if the northern track develops. While a Winter Storm Watch has not yet been issued, forecasters say one is increasingly likely within the next 24 hours as confidence improves.
Residents are urged to prepare now by adjusting weekend travel plans, stocking essentials, and monitoring forecast updates. With cold air lingering after the storm, impacts could extend well into next week.
Further updates are expected as the storm track becomes clearer.
