College Park, MD – NOAA’s Weather Prediction Center has issued a Slight Risk (Level 2 of 4) for excessive rainfall across parts of Texas, Oklahoma, Arkansas, and Louisiana on Sunday and Monday. A strong upper-level disturbance will sweep through the southern Plains into the ArkLaTex and Mid-South, bringing periods of heavy rain that may lead to isolated to scattered flash flooding.
According to the Weather Prediction Center, Sunday’s highest risk zone stretches from north-central Texas into southeast Oklahoma, where moisture and upper-level support align to produce heavier rainfall rates. Urban areas and locations with poor drainage will be most vulnerable, especially during periods of persistent rain.
By Monday, the Slight Risk shifts east into Arkansas, northern Louisiana, and portions of Mississippi, with localized high-end rainfall potentially exceeding 2–4 inches. The WPC notes that soil saturation and leaf-clogged drains could amplify localized flooding impacts.
Forecasters warn that flash flooding can occur quickly, even outside traditionally flood-prone areas. Motorists are urged to avoid driving through water-covered roads. “Turn Around, Don’t Drown.”
Residents across the ArkLaTex and Mid-South should monitor updates as the system progresses and ensure they have multiple ways to receive weather alerts, especially overnight.
