Buffalo, N.Y. – Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected to move into Western and North-Central New York Tuesday night into Wednesday, but widespread drought relief remains unlikely. The National Weather Service in Buffalo says the region’s abnormally dry conditions will persist despite the rain chances.
According to the agency, the probability of more than half an inch of rain over the next two days ranges from about 18% in Rochester and Oswego to 25% in Geneseo, with slightly higher chances—around 32% to 34%—in isolated areas like Camden and Hamilton. The rainfall is expected to be spotty, meaning dry soils across much of the region will see little improvement.
Motorists should be cautious on wet roads Tuesday night and early Wednesday, particularly in urban areas where brief heavy downpours could cause ponding. Residents are urged to check local forecasts for lightning risk before outdoor activities.
While showers may offer some short-term cooling, the NWS notes that a return to dry conditions is likely by Thursday. Additional rain chances are uncertain heading into the weekend.