Newark, NJ — New Jersey could be impacted by a major winter storm this weekend, with snowfall totals ranging from several inches to as much as 24 inches, depending on the eventual track of the storm system.
According to the National Weather Service, forecasters are now focused on two remaining storm scenarios, both of which would bring snow to New Jersey, but with sharply different outcomes.
In Scenario 1, the storm tracks farther south before turning northeast offshore. Under this scenario, much of New Jersey would see lighter snowfall, generally 1 to 6 inches, with heavier totals remaining south and west of the state. This outcome would still cause travel issues but would limit the risk of widespread shutdowns.
In Scenario 2, the storm tracks farther north through the Appalachians before intensifying near the coast. This path would place central and northern New Jersey much closer to the storm’s core, significantly increasing snowfall potential. In this scenario, 12 to 24 inches of snow would be possible across large portions of the state, including the Newark metro area, with locally higher totals if the heaviest snow band sets up over the region.
Snow would likely begin late Saturday, intensify Sunday, and continue into Monday, with cold temperatures ensuring that snow accumulates efficiently and remains on roadways. The National Weather Service warned that travel could become extremely difficult or impossible, particularly during periods of heavy snowfall.
Current guidance suggests probabilities for at least 6 inches of snow exceed 60–70% across much of New Jersey, increasing toward northern and central sections if the northern track scenario develops. While a Winter Storm Watch has not yet been issued statewide, forecasters say one is increasingly likely within the next 24 hours as confidence grows.
Residents are urged to prepare now by adjusting weekend travel plans, stocking emergency supplies, and ensuring vehicles and heating systems are ready. With cold air lingering after the storm, impacts could extend well into next week.
Further scenario updates are expected as forecast confidence continues to improve.
