Albany, New York – Above-normal precipitation paired with near-normal temperatures may increase snow chances across New York from Jan. 3–9.
According to the NOAA Climate Prediction Center’s 8–14 Day Outlook, much of New York is favored to receive above-normal precipitation during the first full week of January. Temperatures are expected to remain near seasonal averages, a combination that supports snow potential across large portions of the state.
The outlook reflects a 33–50% probability that precipitation totals exceed early-January norms. While this guidance does not identify specific storm systems, it signals a pattern favorable for multiple snow events rather than a single major storm.
Upstate New York, including the Mohawk Valley, Capital Region, and North Country, typically experiences colder surface temperatures that enhance snow accumulation potential. Western New York may also see snow, with lake-enhanced snowfall possible if conditions align. Downstate areas, including the Hudson Valley and New York City metro, could see periods of snow or mixed precipitation depending on storm timing and coastal influences.
Travel impacts are possible along major corridors including Interstate 90, Interstate 87, Interstate 81, and Interstate 95, as well as commuter rail and transit systems. Commuters, students, healthcare workers, and freight operators may encounter delays, especially during overnight and early-morning hours.
The Climate Prediction Center emphasizes that 8–14 day outlooks represent probability trends, not guaranteed outcomes. More detailed forecasts, including snowfall amounts and potential winter weather advisories, will be issued by the National Weather Service as the period approaches.
Residents are encouraged to monitor updated forecasts, review winter travel plans, and stay alert for possible winter weather advisories or warnings heading into early January.
