Albany, New York – Winter may be settling in for a longer stay across New York after Groundhog Day tradition echoed what long-range climate signals are already suggesting. Punxsutawney Phil saw his shadow Monday morning, pointing to six more weeks of winter and delaying expectations for a widespread warm-up until at least mid-March.
According to the National Weather Service, New York falls under “equal chances” for temperatures from February through April. That designation signals uncertainty rather than relief, keeping the risk of late-season cold snaps, snow events, and fluctuating temperatures on the table statewide. Upstate areas including Albany, Syracuse, Rochester, and Buffalo remain vulnerable to accumulating snow into March, while New York City and Long Island could see a mix of colder air intrusions and brief thaws.
Precipitation is expected to be a more consistent factor. According to NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, much of New York is favored for above-normal precipitation through early spring. That raises the potential for heavier snow during colder periods and rain or mixed precipitation during warmer breaks, increasing concerns for slick roads, river rises, and localized flooding as snowmelt begins.
While the Farmers’ Almanac notes spring officially begins Thursday, March 20, and highlights a total lunar eclipse early Tuesday, March 3, winter weather impacts may persist beyond those markers. New Yorkers are encouraged to stay prepared for changing conditions and monitor updated advisories, as winter hazards could remain part of the picture well into early spring.
