ALBANY, New York – A warm, quiet start to November across New York is about to give way to a sharper fall-to-winter transition between November 9 and 15, with colder air and scattered snow chances returning to the region. Forecasters warn that the state could see its first widespread wintry mix of the season as moisture increases and temperatures tumble toward mid-month.
According to the NOAA Climate Prediction Center, much of New York falls into a below-normal precipitation zone overall, but localized above-normal precipitation is likely along Lake Erie and Lake Ontario, where cold northwest flow could trigger lake-effect snow squalls. Temperatures are expected to cool to near or slightly below normal after next weekend, ending the stretch of mild fall afternoons.
The National Weather Service offices in Albany, Buffalo, and Binghamton note that early-week systems may bring rain transitioning to wet snow, particularly over higher terrain in the Adirondacks, Tug Hill, and Catskills. Commuters along I-90, I-81, and the Thruway corridor should prepare for possible reduced visibility and slippery conditions during heavier bursts.
State and local officials urge residents to begin winterizing homes now — clean gutters, check heating systems, and stock essentials before temperatures drop further. Heavy, wet snow or ice accumulation could lead to isolated power outages in rural and hilltop areas.
With Thanksgiving travel just weeks away, meteorologists say the developing pattern is a clear sign winter is edging closer. A quick round of snow next week could be a preview of more significant storms later in November.
