BUFFALO, NY — The air has that restless November bite this morning — damp streets, low clouds drifting off Lake Erie, and a stillness that rarely lasts long. Western New York stands on the edge of a classic seasonal shift as milder air battles an incoming cold front that promises wind, rain, and possibly snow before the weekend ends.
According to the National Weather Service in Buffalo, temperatures will climb into the upper 40s today under partly sunny skies, offering a brief calm before the next active stretch. By Friday morning, expect widespread rain and gusty south winds, with gusts pushing 30 mph near the lake and along the I-90 corridor. The rain will be steady at times, producing up to a half inch by late evening — enough to slow travel and create slick roads across Erie, Niagara, and Genesee counties.
The pattern turns colder Saturday behind the front, though clouds linger with highs near 50°F. The next system follows quickly, bringing more showers Sunday, possibly mixing with wet snowflakes Sunday night as temperatures dip near 30°F.
Looking beyond the weekend, Monday and Veterans Day Tuesday will feel sharply colder, with daytime highs barely reaching the upper 30s to low 40s and wind chills in the 20s. It’s the first real taste of early winter for Western New York — the kind that reminds residents to check furnaces, restock ice melt, and prepare for slick morning commutes.
Even as the flakes stay light, the signal is clear: Buffalo’s November transition to winter has begun.
Five-Day Outlook for Buffalo, NY:
Thu: 47/38 – Partly sunny, calm.
Fri: 58/43 – Rain, windy.
Sat: 50/37 – Mostly cloudy, cooler.
Sun: 48/29 – Rain, changing to snow late.
Mon: 36/27 – Mostly cloudy, wintry chill.
Tue (Veterans Day): 40/28 – Breezy, cold air holds.
