BUFFALO, NY – The air feels heavier this morning across western New York, clouds stacked low over Lake Erie as winds begin to turn brisk and cool. Damp leaves swirl along curbs and driveways, the kind of early November chill that hints at what’s waiting just ahead — the first winter transition of the season.
According to the National Weather Service in Buffalo, a weak system will track through the region Sunday into Monday, bringing periods of light rain that could expand in coverage through the afternoon. The steadiest showers will fall along and south of I-90, with gusty southwest winds topping 20 mph near the lakeshore. Temperatures will hover in the low to mid-50s, cool but still above freezing.
By Monday evening, colder air slides in behind the front. Models suggest the first hints of a lake-effect setup may take shape by midweek, with a few snow showers possible across higher terrain east of Buffalo. While accumulation isn’t expected yet, it’s a reminder that winter’s edge is now within reach.
Travelers should prepare for wet roads Sunday and breezy crosswinds along the Skyway and Route 219. Early week conditions then trend drier and sunnier before another round of unsettled weather midweek. For now, this first full week of November delivers a crisp preview — chilly mornings, brisk afternoons, and that unmistakable feel of snow season knocking early on western New York’s door.
Five-Day Forecast for Buffalo, NY:
Sat: 50/36 – Partly sunny; cool breeze from the west.
Sun: 53/42 – Mostly cloudy; light rain developing later.
Mon: 55/40 – Showers likely; gusty southwest winds.
Tue: 54/41 – Mostly sunny; cool, calmer winds.
Wed: 54/38 – Cloudy; scattered showers, possible early flakes east of I-90.





