New York — Gray clouds hang low over Lake Erie this morning, and the air feels damp along Buffalo’s waterfront. The calm sky early on may not last long.
Temperatures sit near 41°F early today, but a quick warm surge pushes readings into the low 60s later today across western New York.
That warm push comes with an active storm system.
Meteorologists are tracking showers expanding across the region through the day. A few thunderstorms could develop late in the afternoon as a strong cold front approaches.
Wind will be the biggest concern.
Gusts could reach 45 mph across Buffalo and along the Lake Erie shoreline, especially through the afternoon and evening hours.
Drivers along I-90, Route 33, and the Buffalo Skyway should expect strong crosswinds, wet pavement, and occasional visibility drops during heavier rain.
Plan extra time if traveling across western New York today.
Rain continues into tonight before colder air quickly moves in. Temperatures fall toward the upper 20s, allowing rain to briefly mix with snow before precipitation tapers.
Little accumulation is expected, but wet roads could turn slick as temperatures drop.
Thursday turns colder and breezy with mostly cloudy skies and highs near 36°F. The brisk wind off Lake Erie will make it feel even colder.
Another system approaches late Friday, bringing rain that may mix with snow again across western New York. Gusty winds could redevelop as the system moves through the Great Lakes.
By Saturday, skies partially clear with temperatures in the mid-30s, offering a quieter break in the active pattern.
Spring break travelers heading across the Northeast from March 13–15 should watch for changing road conditions, especially near the Great Lakes snow belt.
Long-range outlooks suggest above-normal temperatures may return late next week, hinting that early spring warmth could push back into the region before the official start of spring on March 20.
Five-Day Outlook for Buffalo, New York
Thursday: Mostly cloudy and breezy. High 36°F
Friday: Rain mixing with snow and windy. High 43°F
Saturday: Partly sunny. High 34°F
Sunday: Rain likely, turning breezy. High 51°F
Monday: Rain and snow showers possible. High 39°F
