New York City, New York – A sustained push of arctic air is expected to settle across New York late this month into early February, bringing a prolonged stretch of colder-than-normal temperatures while keeping precipitation chances limited across much of the state.
According to the National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center, the Jan. 24–Feb. 6 outlook favors below-normal temperatures statewide with below-normal precipitation probabilities across northern and western New York. This pattern suppresses widespread storm development as cold, dry air remains firmly in place.
Upstate regions, including Buffalo, Rochester, Syracuse, and the North Country, are expected to see extended periods of cold with limited snowfall opportunities. Lake-effect activity is expected to remain muted during much of this stretch due to reduced moisture and unfavorable wind patterns. Central New York and the Capital Region, including Albany and Schenectady, may see occasional light snow or flurries, but overall totals are expected to remain below seasonal averages.
Southern New York, including New York City, Long Island, and the Lower Hudson Valley, could see slightly higher chances for light precipitation toward the end of the month as storm tracks dip closer to the Mid-Atlantic. Even so, signals for a significant snow event remain low during this period.
The primary impacts statewide will be cold-related, including icy roads during morning commutes, frozen pipes, and increased heating demand. More active winter weather is expected to focus farther south across the Mid-Atlantic and Ohio Valley.
Residents are encouraged to prepare for extended cold by protecting exposed plumbing, checking heating systems, and using caution during early morning travel. Below-normal temperatures are expected to persist into early February, with updated outlooks and advisories possible as the pattern evolves.
