New York City, New York – A prolonged stretch of colder-than-normal weather is expected to settle across New York State from Friday through early the following week, bringing persistent freezing temperatures and limited chances for widespread rain or snow.
According to the National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center, the 8–14 day outlook for Jan. 30 through Feb. 5 places New York within a high-confidence zone for below-normal temperatures. Much of the state, from the New York City metro north through the Hudson Valley, Capital Region, and western New York, has an 80 to 100 percent probability of below-normal temperatures during this period.
High temperatures are expected to remain several degrees below seasonal averages, with overnight lows frequently falling well below freezing. The cold pattern extends far beyond New York, stretching from New England down through the Mid-Atlantic and coastal Carolinas, reaching into Florida, and expanding westward into Ohio, Mississippi, and parts of the Midwest. In contrast, above-normal temperatures are largely confined to the Pacific Coast and areas west of the Rockies.
Despite the colder air, precipitation across New York is expected to trend below normal. The outlook favors drier-than-average conditions from Maine through the Mid-Atlantic, reducing the likelihood of frequent or significant snow events. While occasional light snow, flurries, or localized lake-effect activity cannot be ruled out, the overall pattern does not support repeated storm systems or widespread accumulation.
Above-normal precipitation chances are limited to areas such as Texas, Florida, and the Pacific Northwest, while near-normal precipitation is more likely across parts of the southern Plains and Southwest.
Residents across New York should prepare for an extended period of winter cold, remain alert for icy travel conditions, and take steps to protect pipes, pets, and vulnerable populations. Additional outlook updates may be issued as the period approaches and confidence in localized impacts increases.
