BUFFALO, NY – Gray skies and steady rain sweep across the western edge of New York this Tuesday morning, signaling a long, wet stretch ahead for communities near Lake Erie. Roads will glisten, storm drains will strain, and by Thursday night, residents could see the season’s first prolonged lake-effect event — the kind that hints at winter’s approach.
According to the National Weather Service office in Buffalo, a band of heavy lake-effect rain will persist along and northeast of Lake Erie through Thursday. The heaviest rainfall is expected Wednesday night into Thursday morning, with localized totals reaching 2 to 4 inches. Winds gusting above 25 mph could create waves of spray along Route 5 and near the I-190 corridor, reducing visibility for drivers.
Low-lying areas and poor-drainage zones may experience brief ponding, especially in Erie and Chautauqua counties. Residents should clear storm grates, secure outdoor decorations, and allow extra time for commutes during heavier downpours. The steady southwesterly flow keeping the lake bands in place will also draw in cooler air — a sign that fall’s mild pattern is fading fast.
To be fair, temperatures won’t yet dip toward freezing, but models hint that colder air may follow early next week. By the weekend, scattered showers may ease, with a crisp, breezy chill taking hold. For those planning late-fall yard work or Halloween setups, Friday’s drying period offers the best window before another wet spell Sunday.
Five-Day Forecast for Buffalo, NY:
Tue: 59/44 – Showers increase; breezy and damp.
Wed: 51/44 – Periods of rain; heavier at times.
Thu: 52/41 – Steady lake-effect rain; gusty winds near shore.
Fri: 52/39 – Mostly cloudy; brief dry breaks, cool breeze.
Sat: 53/40 – Partly sunny early; scattered showers return late.
