Buffalo, New York – Western New York gets a relatively quiet start before wet pavement and repeated showers become the story through midweek. Buffalo sat at 61 degrees before 9 a.m., with mostly cloudy skies and 10-mile visibility.
According to the National Weather Service in Buffalo, today reaches 76 degrees with southwest winds of 5 to 13 mph. The more significant change arrives Sunday afternoon, when the rain chance reaches 30%.
That chance surges to 80% Sunday evening. Showers become increasingly widespread, with a thunderstorm also possible after 8 p.m.
Rainfall could total between one-quarter and one-half inch during that period. Higher amounts remain possible where thunderstorms develop.
Drivers using I-90, I-190 and the Buffalo Skyway should prepare for changing road conditions. Keep extra distance on wet pavement and watch for water collecting in poor-drainage areas.
Monday remains unsettled. The NWS gives Buffalo an 80% chance of showers, with thunderstorms possible after 2 p.m. Temperatures reach about 79 degrees.
Showers remain likely Monday evening at 60%. Tuesday brings a brief reduction to a 30% chance as temperatures climb to 81.
The break may not last.
Rain chances rise to 50% Tuesday evening. Wednesday carries a 40% chance of precipitation, with thunderstorms possible after 2 p.m. The high reaches 82 degrees.
No specific tornado probability appears in the supplied Buffalo data. Residents should still monitor any thunderstorm alerts as the wetter pattern develops.
For now, keep umbrellas nearby and build extra time into Sunday evening and Monday travel. Additional alerts could follow if thunderstorms become stronger or rainfall grows heavier.
Traveling around Buffalo during the wetter stretch? Tell us what road conditions look like in your neighborhood.
Five-Day Weather Outlook for Buffalo, New York
- Today: Partly sunny, high 76°F. Southwest winds 5-13 mph.
- Sunday: Mostly cloudy, high 76°F. 30% afternoon shower and thunderstorm chance, increasing to 80% Sunday evening.
- Monday: Showers, high 79°F. 80% rain chance with afternoon thunderstorms possible.
- Tuesday: Mostly cloudy, high 81°F. 30% shower chance, rising to 50% Tuesday evening.
- Wednesday: Mostly cloudy, high 82°F. 40% shower chance with afternoon thunderstorms possible.




