Buffalo, New York – Signals are strengthening for a colder, snow-favored weather pattern across Western New York late next week, with the potential for multiple snow events increasing between Jan 20 and Jan 26. While exact timing remains uncertain, the overall setup now leans more toward snow than rain across much of the region.
According to the National Weather Service and the Climate Prediction Center, Western New York is highlighted for a 40 percent chance of above-normal precipitation during the 8–14 day period. At the same time, temperature trends suggest colder air will be more persistent than previously indicated, increasing the likelihood that precipitation falls mainly as snow, especially outside immediate lakeshore areas.
Buffalo, Niagara Falls, and Rochester could see several periods of light to moderate snow as systems track through the Great Lakes. While daytime temperatures may occasionally hover near freezing, overnight and early morning hours appear cold enough to support accumulating snow, particularly away from Lake Erie and Lake Ontario.
Higher terrain across the Southern Tier, including Chautauqua, Cattaraugus, and Allegany counties, faces an increased risk for steadier snow and higher totals. Colder air pooling in these areas could allow snow to persist even during daytime hours. Lake-enhanced snowfall may also develop at times, adding localized intensity downwind of Lake Erie.
Drivers should prepare for slick roads during morning and evening commutes, especially along I-90, Route 219, and rural secondary roads. Even modest snow amounts could create travel slowdowns if multiple events occur within a short window.
Residents are encouraged to review winter travel plans, ensure vehicles are equipped for snow-covered roads, and stay alert for updated advisories. Confidence will continue to improve as the period approaches, and additional winter weather alerts may be issued if the snow signal continues to strengthen.
