Albany, New York – New York State faces a 5% to 40% chance of winter storm impacts this weekend, with probabilities varying significantly by region as a developing coastal storm tracks northward along the East Coast between 7 p.m. Friday and 7 p.m. Monday.
According to the National Weather Service Weather Prediction Center, a strengthening low-pressure system is expected to move offshore of the Mid-Atlantic late Saturday before passing southeast of New England on Sunday. While the primary storm track is expected to remain offshore, colder air across New York may support wintry precipitation in some areas if the system tracks closer to the coast.
Regional probabilities across New York include:
- New York City and Long Island: 5%–20% chance, mainly rain or mixed precipitation
- Lower Hudson Valley: 20%–30% chance, higher north and west
- Capital Region: 30%–40% chance, greatest risk inland
- Central New York: 20%–35% chance
- North Country: 10%–25% chance, depending on storm placement
Potential impacts include periods of snow or rain-snow mix, gusty winds, and reduced visibility. Major travel corridors such as Interstate 95, Interstate 87 (New York State Thruway), and Interstate 90 could experience slick conditions, especially late Saturday into Sunday where snow develops.
Forecasters emphasize that confidence remains low to moderate, and small changes in storm track or temperature profiles could significantly shift impact zones across the state.
Residents are encouraged to monitor official forecasts and prepare for possible travel disruptions. Weekend commuters, students, and travelers across New York should remain flexible with plans as forecast details continue to evolve.
