NEW YORK, N.Y. – Crisp fall air and calm skies greet the city this morning, but a quick change is on the way as a weak system eyes the Northeast by Tuesday. The first full week of November opens mild and pleasant — a brief pause before a round of light rain sweeps through the region, marking a classic early-season transition under La Niña’s developing influence.
According to the National Weather Service in Upton, a 30% chance of light rain arrives after midday Monday, mainly across northern New Jersey, southern Connecticut, and the five boroughs. Roads like the FDR Drive and stretches of I-95 could turn slick for the afternoon commute. Winds pick up slightly from the southwest between 10 and 15 mph, making umbrellas tricky in open areas and near the Hudson. Temperatures will stay in the lower 60s before easing back toward the upper 40s by Monday night.
Tuesday brings brisk sunshine and highs near 58, followed by a cooling breeze out of the northwest. The second half of the week trends quieter and drier — ideal for early leaf cleanup or outdoor errands. By late week, highs rebound to the upper 50s, continuing a stretch of “near normal” conditions typical for early November.
Long-range guidance from NOAA hints that the East Coast will hover near average through midmonth while La Niña keeps the South and Plains warmer than normal. Early signs suggest the first measurable snow could reach northern New England and the Great Lakes before Thanksgiving, signaling the true start of winter’s run-up.
Five-Day Forecast for New York, NY:
Sun: 58/49 – Sunny; calm breeze and crisp fall feel.
Mon: 62/50 – Partly sunny; 30% chance of afternoon rain.
Tue: 58/47 – Breezy, cooler; bright skies and dry roads.
Wed: 59/49 – Partly sunny; brief shower possible late.
Thu: 54/46 – Mostly sunny; mild and seasonable for early November.
