Albuquerque, New Mexico – A warmer-than-normal and wetter weather pattern is expected to develop across New Mexico heading into Valentine’s Day weekend, increasing the potential for rain in lower elevations, snow in the mountains, and changing travel conditions from Saturday through midweek. While no single high-impact winter storm is currently signaled, repeated systems could create cumulative impacts statewide.
According to the National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center, New Mexico is favored for above-normal precipitation and above-normal temperatures during the February 14–18 period. This pattern weakens prolonged cold air while allowing Pacific moisture to move into the Southwest, increasing precipitation coverage across the state.
In central New Mexico, including Albuquerque, Rio Rancho, and the I-25 corridor, milder daytime temperatures may allow precipitation to fall mainly as rain. Overnight cooling could still bring brief periods of wet snow or a rain-snow mix, creating slick spots during early morning travel on bridges and elevated roadways.
Northern New Mexico, including Santa Fe, Española, and the Sangre de Cristo Mountains, is more likely to see snow, especially at higher elevations. Warmer air aloft may lead to heavier, moisture-laden snowfall, impacting travel over mountain passes and along U.S. 84/285 and Highway 518.
Eastern New Mexico, including Clovis, Tucumcari, and Roswell, may see fluctuating precipitation types as temperatures hover near freezing at night. Slushy road conditions are possible at times along I-40 and U.S. 70, particularly during overnight and early morning hours.
Western New Mexico, including Gallup and Grants, could see periods of rain mixed with snow, while higher terrain remains snow-dominant. Additional moisture falling on existing snowpack may increase runoff into arroyos and low-water crossings.
The New Mexico Department of Transportation advises travelers to monitor conditions closely, especially in mountain areas. Air travel through Albuquerque International Sunport and regional airports may see occasional delays during periods of low ceilings or steadier precipitation.
This warmer, wetter pattern is expected to persist into midweek. Additional advisories may be issued as individual systems become clearer, and residents are urged to stay alert for updated alerts, particularly for mountain travel and overnight driving conditions.
