Newark, NJ – New Jersey residents could be heading into 2026 with springlike temperatures, as long-range forecasts point to a stretch of near-record warmth settling in across the state after Christmas and lingering into the New Year.
According to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), the 8–14 day temperature tf outlook covering Saturday, December 27 through Friday, January 2 shows a strong probability of above-normal temperatures statewide, including Newark, the New York City metro area, the Jersey Shore, and much of central and southern New Jersey.
For Newark and nearby communities, daytime highs during the post-Christmas to New Year’s window are expected to run well above late-December averages, with some days potentially approaching or challenging daily temperature records. Late December typically brings colder, more wintry conditions to the region, making the forecasted warmth especially notable.
Meteorologists say the pattern is being driven by a broad ridge of high pressure dominating the eastern United States, effectively blocking sustained cold air from reaching the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast while keeping storm systems on a milder track.
The warm trend may extend beyond New Year’s Day. NOAA’s Week 3–4 outlook for January 3–16, 2026 continues to lean above average for temperatures across much of New Jersey, particularly in northern and coastal areas. While confidence decreases farther out, the data suggests a mild start to January rather than a return to deep winter cold.
The extended warmth could impact energy usage, travel, and winter recreation, especially with reduced chances for snow at lower elevations. Officials remind residents that winter weather patterns can change quickly, but for now, all signals point toward a warm opening to 2026.
