Newark, NJ – New Jersey may face a mix of wet and potentially wintry weather during the Thanksgiving travel window, as long-range federal outlooks show a near-normal precipitation pattern, giving the state a 50–50 chance of seeing mixed precipitation or wet snow between November 23 and November 29.
According to the Climate Prediction Center’s 8–14 Day Outlook released Saturday, New Jersey sits in a marginal transition zone between colder interior Northeast air and maritime warmth from the Atlantic. This setup makes late-November outcomes highly dependent on storm track and timing—conditions that often dictate whether the state sees rain, a mix, or periods of wet snow.
North Jersey—including Sussex, Warren, Passaic, Morris, and northern Bergen counties—holds the strongest chance at wintry precipitation. Elevation in areas such as High Point, Vernon, and West Milford historically enhances the odds of wet snow when temperatures sit near freezing, particularly overnight or early in the morning.
Central New Jersey—including Edison, New Brunswick, Princeton, and Freehold—sits in the true 50–50 zone. Daytime events will likely favor cold rain, but nighttime cooling could briefly flip precipitation to a mix if colder air filters in from the north.
South Jersey—including Trenton, Cherry Hill, Camden, Atlantic City, and Cape May—leans heavily toward cold rain. Coastal influence maintains temperatures several degrees warmer, significantly reducing the chance of snow except in rare storm-track scenarios.
Shore points—including Long Branch, Seaside Heights, and down to Wildwood—are expected to see primarily rain, though breezy conditions and low visibility could still slow travel.
Thanksgiving week brings some of the state’s highest travel volume of the year along I-95, the Garden State Parkway, I-78, and the New Jersey Turnpike. Even cold rain can create delays, and any brief mix in North Jersey could impact hillsides and commuter routes.
Forecasters expect clearer details on storm timing early next week as short-range models begin resolving individual systems.
