Manchester, New Hampshire – A mid-February warm-up is expected across New Hampshire, with temperatures forecast to run 10 to 20 degrees above normal from Feb. 16–20, according to the NOAA Climate Prediction Center.
The Climate Prediction Center’s 6–10 day outlook shows a strong signal for above-normal temperatures statewide, including Manchester and Concord. Probabilities for warmer-than-average conditions exceed 60 percent, pointing to a high-confidence departure from typical winter patterns.
Under normal conditions, mid-February highs across New Hampshire generally range from the upper 20s to lower 30s. During this period, daytime temperatures are expected to climb into the upper 30s and 40s, especially across southern New Hampshire and lower elevations. Overnight lows may also trend milder, reducing the frequency of extreme cold.
The warming trend is part of a larger weather pattern influencing much of the central and eastern United States. While areas farther west, including parts of the Midwest and Mississippi Valley, may see highs reach the 50s and 60s, New England is still expected to experience a noticeable break from winter cold often referred to as a “spring tease.”
Precipitation outlooks indicate near to slightly above-normal precipitation potential during this timeframe. Combined with warmer temperatures, melting snowpack could lead to localized ponding and minor flooding, particularly in low-lying areas and locations with poor drainage.
Forecasters emphasize that this outlook reflects probabilistic climate guidance, not a guarantee of daily temperatures. Winter weather remains possible later in February, and residents are encouraged to stay updated with local forecasts as conditions evolve.
For commuters, students, and outdoor workers, the brief warm-up may offer temporary relief, though rapid weather changes remain likely.
