Nashville, Tennessee – A noticeable warm-up is set to spread across Tennessee by Thursday as temperatures climb well above freezing, easing winter conditions and setting up a milder mid-February pattern that could bring periods of wet weather statewide.
According to the National Weather Service and NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, the 8–14 day outlook valid from Friday, February 13 through Thursday, February 19 favors above-normal temperatures across nearly all of Tennessee. Daytime highs are expected to rise into the 40s and 50s beginning Thursday, with some southern and western areas pushing even warmer.
Nashville, Memphis, Knoxville, Chattanooga, and the Tri-Cities all fall within the stronger warm signal, including higher elevations of East Tennessee that typically hold onto colder air longer. Overnight lows are also expected to remain above freezing in many areas, sharply reducing frost and freeze concerns.
Precipitation probabilities trend near to slightly above normal during this period, increasing the likelihood of rain as warmer air moves into the Tennessee Valley. The Tennessee Department of Transportation notes that major corridors including I-40, I-24, I-65, I-75, and I-81 could see slick conditions during rainfall, especially during peak commute hours and overnight periods.
The milder pattern is expected to persist into the middle of next week. Residents should stay alert for updated advisories, as additional alerts may be issued if rainfall timing or localized flooding concerns become clearer across the state.
