Albuquerque, NM – The monsoon season in New Mexico is set to bring more heavy rainfall today and tonight. A weak upper wave in the northerly flow aloft, interacting with a high monsoon and an upper low over the Midwest, will maintain shower and thunderstorm chances well into the evening, particularly in the eastern regions.
According to the National Weather Service (NWS) in Albuquerque, the heaviest rain is expected along and east of the Rio Grande Valley and the Gila region, with the potential for 0.5 to 1 inch or more of rain. Some areas may experience up to 2 inches of rain in just one hour, leading to flash flooding.
The Thunderstorm Threat Guidance highlights very high probabilities of thunderstorms over recent burn scars from wildfires, including the Hermits Peak/Calf Canyon, Cerro Pelado, and Indios areas. These regions, alongside southern burn scars such as Blue 2, McBride, and South Fork, are at elevated risk due to above-normal moisture content and storm motions ranging from 5 to 15 mph.
The Severe Weather Outlook indicates a slight chance of hail, damaging winds, and tornadoes, particularly in eastern New Mexico from 12 p.m. to 9 p.m. MDT. Residents are advised to stay updated on weather conditions and be prepared to seek shelter if necessary. The NWS recommends caution, especially in areas prone to flash flooding and those near burn scars, where runoff can be severe.
