Minneapolis, Minnesota – A warmer-than-normal and wetter weather pattern is expected to develop across Minnesota heading into Valentine’s Day weekend, increasing the risk for rain, wet snow, and slushy travel conditions from Saturday through midweek. While no single high-impact winter storm is currently locked in, repeated rounds of precipitation could create cumulative impacts on roads, transit, and river levels.
According to the National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center, Minnesota is favored for above-normal precipitation and above-normal temperatures during the February 14–18 period. This setup weakens prolonged Arctic cold and shifts precipitation toward rain or mixed events, especially across southern and central Minnesota.
In the Twin Cities metro, including Minneapolis, St. Paul, and Bloomington, milder daytime temperatures may allow precipitation to fall mainly as rain. Overnight cooling could still lead to periods of wet snow or slush, increasing the risk for slick conditions during early morning travel on I-94, I-35W, I-35E, and major ramps and overpasses.
Southern Minnesota communities such as Rochester, Mankato, and Albert Lea are expected to see rain as the dominant precipitation type. Repeated rainfall could lead to ponding on roadways and slower travel, particularly during overnight and early commute windows.
Farther north, including Duluth, Brainerd, and Bemidji, temperatures may fluctuate closer to freezing, allowing precipitation to alternate between rain and wet snow. Heavier, moisture-laden snow is possible during colder periods, which can quickly create slushy and uneven road conditions on U.S. 2 and Highway 53.
Additional precipitation falling on existing snowpack could increase runoff into rivers and streams, especially in southern basins. State and local officials encourage monitoring water levels and keeping storm drains clear.
Air travel through Minneapolis–St. Paul International Airport may see occasional delays during periods of low ceilings or steadier precipitation, though widespread disruptions are not expected. MnDOT crews are expected to remain in active winter operations as conditions change.
This warmer, wetter pattern is expected to persist into midweek. Additional advisories may be issued as individual systems become clearer, and residents are urged to stay alert for updated alerts, particularly during overnight travel periods when conditions can change quickly.
