Minneapolis, Minnesota – A milder late-winter pattern is setting up across Minnesota and Iowa in the Feb. 21–27 window, increasing the likelihood of above-normal temperatures and shifting precipitation toward rain or a rain-sleet mix.
According to the National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center, both states fall within a 33% to 50% probability zone for above-normal temperatures during the 8- to 14-day outlook. That signals afternoon highs running several degrees above late-February averages, especially across southern Minnesota and much of Iowa.
While the warmer trend reduces the chance of prolonged heavy snow, passing systems could still bring mixed precipitation. Across central and southern Iowa, including Des Moines and Cedar Rapids, rain appears more likely during daylight hours. In Minnesota, particularly from St. Cloud north toward Duluth, sleet or wet snow could mix in during overnight or early morning periods if surface temperatures dip near freezing.
Drivers should stay alert for slick bridges and untreated rural highways, including stretches of I-35 and I-90, where brief refreezing can occur after sunset.
The broader setup favors active weather rather than a prolonged dry stretch. Additional updates from the National Weather Service may refine precipitation type and timing as late February approaches.
