Minneapolis, MN – A complex weather setup will unfold across the Twin Cities and southern Minnesota Monday night as a developing system brings rain that transitions to a rain–snow mix and, in some locations, a complete changeover to snow. The timing of that temperature swing will determine how much snow accumulates, with slushy totals of 1–2 inches possible in areas south of the metro.
According to the National Weather Service in Twin Cities/Chanhassen, cloud cover will thicken tonight with lows dropping into the 22–32°F range. Monday will remain mostly cloudy with light rain developing late in the day. Highs in the Twin Cities will range from 40–45°F, keeping conditions wet through the evening.
Late Monday night, as colder air arrives, rain is expected to transition to a rain/snow mix, with some areas briefly changing to all snow. This transition is highly sensitive to small temperature changes: even a 1–2°F shift could move the rain–snow line north or south and dramatically alter accumulation.
Forecast probabilities show the highest chance for accumulating snow across southern Minnesota, including Faribault, Mankato, Albert Lea, Rochester, and Marshall—where snow probabilities range from 80% to 100%. Closer to the Twin Cities, odds drop to 20–40%, but a slightly earlier changeover could push those numbers higher.
The Tuesday morning commute may be affected, particularly south of I-94, where slushy roads and reduced visibility are possible during heavier bursts. Areas north of the metro—including St. Cloud, Cambridge, and Little Falls—are expected to see little or no accumulation.
By Tuesday afternoon, precipitation will taper with highs in the 37–42°F range, limiting lingering impacts. Wednesday turns mostly cloudy but dry, with highs climbing into the 40–50°F range.
Residents across the metro and southern Minnesota should monitor updated forecasts as the timing of the rain-to-snow changeover could shift.
