Milwaukee, WI – A spring-like shift in the weather pattern is expected to impact Wisconsin during the February 11–17 period, bringing above-normal temperatures with potential statewide implications.
According to the NOAA Climate Prediction Center, the 8–14 day outlook strongly favors warmer-than-normal temperatures across the Upper Midwest, including all of Wisconsin. This transition follows recent winter cold and signals a temporary break from prolonged mid-winter conditions.
In southern Wisconsin, including Milwaukee, Madison, and the I-94 corridor, average mid-February high temperatures typically range from the low to mid-30s. Forecast guidance suggests daytime highs may frequently reach the upper 30s and low 40s during this period. Overnight lows are also expected to moderate, reducing the frequency of subzero temperatures.
Central Wisconsin, including Wausau, Stevens Point, and Wisconsin Rapids, is forecast to trend several degrees above normal. Northern Wisconsin and the Northwoods may also see milder daytime temperatures, though colder nights may persist due to snow cover and rural conditions.
As temperatures rise, existing snowpack across much of the state is expected to begin melting. Snowmelt combined with rainfall could increase runoff into rivers, streams, and storm drainage systems. Transportation corridors such as I-94, I-90, I-39, I-41, and US-51 are particularly sensitive to ponding and localized flooding during rapid warmups.
The Climate Prediction Center’s precipitation outlook indicates near to above-normal precipitation potential during this timeframe. While no specific storm systems are identified, rainfall combined with melting snow could lead to rises on rivers including the Wisconsin, Fox, Rock, Chippewa, and Menominee.
Warming temperatures may also weaken ice on lakes and rivers statewide, creating hazardous conditions for recreation and travel. The National Weather Service advises residents to avoid frozen waterways as ice conditions deteriorate during thaw periods.
Commuters, students, and outdoor workers may notice more spring-like afternoons, but officials caution that winter hazards can persist overnight, especially in shaded and low-lying areas.
Residents across Wisconsin are encouraged to monitor updated forecasts, river statements, and local advisories as confidence increases closer to the February 11–17 timeframe.
