Des Moines, IA – After a stretch of sunny, mild fall days, the Midwest could be in for a late-month weather shift. The NOAA Climate Prediction Center (CPC) says Illinois, Iowa, and Minnesota will stay warmer and mostly dry through mid-November, but colder air may slip south closer to Thanksgiving.
According to NOAA’s October 24, 2025, outlook, temperatures across the Midwest are running several degrees above normal. That pattern favors dry conditions and pushes back the region’s first measurable snow for most areas—especially across Missouri and central Illinois.
However, forecasters note that northern Iowa and southern Minnesota could see flurries or light snow showers as colder air dives in between November 18–24, just ahead of Thanksgiving week. No major storms are expected yet, but even a light coating could cause travel slowdowns if temperatures drop fast.
For now, the Midwest’s early November looks tame—but winter may only be one cold front away from showing up on time for the holidays.





