Fort Wayne, Ind. – Indiana is heading into a warmer and potentially drier fall season, with above-average temperatures likely across much of the state through November. According to the Climate Prediction Center’s latest outlook, released August 21, most of Indiana is leaning warmer with equal chances for normal or below-normal precipitation, though parts of southern Indiana may trend drier.
The seasonal temperature outlook highlights a broad area across the Midwest and Great Lakes region — including Northern Indiana — where warmer-than-average conditions are favored from September through November. This continues a persistent trend of above-normal warmth across much of the U.S., especially in central and eastern states.
Meanwhile, the precipitation outlook shows a strong signal for drier conditions in parts of the central Plains and Ohio Valley, extending into southern Indiana. While Northern Indiana remains in the “equal chances” category, any significant rain deficits to the south could still affect regional agriculture and water tables.
Hoosiers should expect gradually shorter days and the typical cool-down through late September, but those waiting for crisp autumn air may need to be patient. Despite overall warmth, occasional cold fronts and brief cool spells are still possible.
More seasonal outlooks and updates will be issued throughout the fall.