Mid-South Weather Watch: 30% Storm Chance Hits Monday Afternoon Across West Tennessee

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Memphis, TN – A return of afternoon thunderstorms and rising humidity could bring spotty showers across Memphis by Monday afternoon, as high temperatures push back toward 90°F.

According to the National Weather Service in Memphis, a 20% chance of thunderstorms begins after 1 p.m. Monday, with another round expected Tuesday afternoon at 30%. The region will remain mostly dry through the weekend, but increasing instability and Gulf moisture will fuel a brief pattern shift early next week.

Saturday and Sunday are expected to stay hot and sunny with highs near 88°F, and overnight lows dipping to the low 70s. Memphis, Bartlett, and Germantown could see brief downpours Monday and Tuesday, though no severe weather is currently expected.

Travelers should stay alert during the Monday and Tuesday afternoon commute windows. While rainfall totals remain low, localized street flooding in urban areas is possible during brief heavy showers. Residents are advised to monitor local alerts and secure outdoor items ahead of Monday’s wind gusts up to 15 mph.

This stretch marks Memphis’ return to 90-degree highs after a relatively mild start to August. Thunderstorm chances remain low but could increase with any boundary shifts.

🌦️ Five-Day Forecast for Memphis, TN:

  • Saturday: Sunny, high near 87°F.
  • Sunday: Sunny, high near 88°F.
  • Monday: Mostly sunny, 20% chance of afternoon t-storms. High near 90°F.
  • Tuesday: 30% chance of afternoon t-storms. High near 89°F.
  • Wednesday: Mostly sunny, high near 90°F.