Mid-South Thanksgiving Weather: Rain Clears Out by Wednesday, Setting Up Perfect Holiday Travel Conditions

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Five day forecast, Dawn sunny, clear skies, pink, and purple lots of trees
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Memphis, TN – A few thin clouds drift across the Memphis skyline this morning, hinting at what’s ahead — an unsettled start to Thanksgiving week. Showers and scattered thunderstorms are on the move across the Mid-South today, bringing wet roads and reduced visibility to parts of western Tennessee, northern Mississippi, and eastern Arkansas.

The National Weather Service in Memphis expects rain chances near 80% through this afternoon and evening, with a few thunderstorms developing as warm, humid air surges north ahead of a weak front. Rain could be briefly heavy in spots, especially during the late-day commute. Travelers along I-40, I-55, and Route 78 should plan for slower traffic and patchy standing water through tonight.

By Tuesday, drier air builds in from the west. Skies begin to clear, setting up sunshine and cooler temperatures by Wednesday — perfect timing for one of the year’s busiest travel days. Thanksgiving Day looks calm and seasonable, with highs near 50°F and crisp, dry air dominating across the Mid-South.

Looking beyond the holiday, Friday and Saturday stay mostly mild before another chance of rain develops by the weekend. After all, late November rarely stays quiet for long — and models hint at another system by early next week.

5-Day Outlook:

  • Tuesday: Partly sunny, high 68°F.
  • Wednesday: Sunny, high 52°F.
  • Thanksgiving Day: Sunny, high 50°F.
  • Friday: Mostly sunny, high 59°F.
  • Saturday: Rain likely, high 60°F.