New York, NY – The Mid-Atlantic region is forecasting a warmer-than-normal holiday week across New York, Pennsylvania, New Jersey, and surrounding states before a notable cold pattern develops in early December.
According to the NOAA Climate Prediction Center, the 8–14 day temperature outlook for November 22–28, 2025, places the entire Mid-Atlantic in the above-normal temperature range. From New York City to Philadelphia, Newark, Baltimore, Washington, D.C., and Richmond, residents can expect milder-than-usual Thanksgiving conditions with fewer weather-related travel issues.
This warm push, NOAA reports, is tied to the ongoing La Niña, combined with larger atmospheric patterns temporarily suppressing cold air over the eastern U.S.
However, a significant shift is expected soon after Thanksgiving. The week 3–4 outlook (November 29–December 12, 2025) transitions much of the Mid-Atlantic—especially Pennsylvania, New York, Maryland, and Virginia—into the below-normal temperature zone, signaling the arrival of an early-season winter pattern.
Temperature Highlights by State (Early December Outlook)
- New York (NYC, Buffalo, Rochester): Trending colder than normal, with potential for early-season snow upstate.
- Pennsylvania (Philadelphia, Pittsburgh): Strong lean toward below-normal temperatures; winter-like start to December.
- New Jersey (Newark, Jersey City): Cooler-than-normal pattern favored; frost and early-season chill likely.
- Maryland (Baltimore): Increasing chances for colder days and nighttime freeze conditions.
- Virginia (Richmond, Norfolk): Colder air expanding southward as December begins.
- Delaware (Wilmington): Mild Thanksgiving, followed by a colder-than-normal first half of December.
- Washington, D.C.: From a mild holiday to a chilly start to December with possible early frost cycles.
NOAA encourages residents to use the warm Thanksgiving window for last-minute winter prep before a more sustained December cold pattern takes hold across the region.
