Boston, Massachusetts – New long-range federal climate guidance suggests February 2026 may bring near-normal winter precipitation across Massachusetts, with equal chances of rain and snow rather than a dominant snowfall pattern.
According to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Climate Prediction Center (CPC), Massachusetts is currently placed in an “equal chances” category for February precipitation type. This classification indicates no statistically significant signal favoring either above-normal snowfall or rain-dominant systems compared to long-term February averages.
Equal chances outlooks point to uncertainty in storm tracks and temperature patterns. For Massachusetts, this suggests February 2026 could feature a wide range of winter conditions, including snow events, rainstorms, and periods of mixed precipitation depending on timing and location.
Interior and higher-elevation areas may still see accumulating snow during colder systems, while coastal and southeastern portions of the state are more likely to experience rain or rain-snow mix during milder periods influenced by Atlantic air.
Temperature outlooks for February indicate near-normal conditions across much of southern New England. This temperature profile supports fluctuations between cold and mild periods, increasing the likelihood of varying precipitation types throughout the month.
Neighboring states across New England show a mix of above-normal and neutral snowfall signals, reinforcing uncertainty in how consistently winter weather patterns may impact Massachusetts.
Commuters, students, and winter travelers across the state are encouraged to monitor updated forecasts as February approaches, when shorter-range outlooks will better resolve storm timing and precipitation type.
