Baltimore, Maryland – A warmer-than-normal and wetter pattern is expected to take hold across Maryland heading into Valentine’s Day weekend, increasing the likelihood of rain, fog, and slower travel from Saturday through midweek. While no single high-impact winter system is locked in, repeated rounds of precipitation could create cumulative impacts across roads, rivers, and drainage systems statewide.
According to the National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center, Maryland is favored for above-normal precipitation and above-normal temperatures during the February 14–18 period. This setup shifts conditions away from sustained cold and snow, increasing the chance for rain events, especially during overnight and early morning hours.
In central Maryland, including Baltimore, Columbia, and Towson, milder daytime temperatures are expected to keep most precipitation as rain. Periods of steady rainfall could lead to ponding on roadways and reduced visibility along I-95, I-695, and the Baltimore-Washington Parkway, particularly during peak commute times.
Across the Washington and Frederick suburbs, temperatures hovering near freezing overnight may allow brief mixed precipitation, though confidence remains low for meaningful snow accumulation. Drivers along I-270 and Route 15 could still encounter slick spots early in the morning.
Western Maryland, including Hagerstown, Cumberland, and higher elevations along I-68, may see periods of rain mixed with wet snow. Additional moisture falling on existing snowpack could increase runoff into creeks and rivers, prompting closer monitoring of water levels.
On the Eastern Shore, including Easton and Salisbury, rain is expected to dominate, with occasional heavier showers capable of slowing travel on Route 50 and Route 13. Coastal and tidal flooding is not currently indicated, but localized poor drainage flooding remains possible.
Air travel through Baltimore/Washington International Thurgood Marshall Airport may see occasional delays during periods of low clouds or heavier rain, though widespread disruptions are not expected. Utility providers report no elevated concerns for ice-related outages at this time.
This warmer, wetter pattern is expected to persist into midweek. Additional advisories may be issued as individual systems become clearer, and residents are urged to stay alert for updates, especially during overnight travel windows.
