Baltimore, Maryland – A mid-February warm-up is expected across Maryland, with temperatures forecast to run 10 to 20 degrees above normal from Feb. 16–20, according to the NOAA Climate Prediction Center.
The Climate Prediction Center’s 6–10 day temperature outlook shows a strong signal for above-normal temperatures statewide, including Baltimore and Annapolis. Probabilities for warmer-than-average conditions exceed 60 percent, pointing to a high-confidence shift away from typical winter weather.
Under normal conditions, mid-February highs across Maryland generally range from the upper 30s to lower 40s, depending on location. During this warm stretch, daytime temperatures are expected to climb into the upper 40s and 50s, with parts of central and southern Maryland potentially reaching the lower 60s under favorable conditions.
This warming trend is part of a broader weather pattern affecting much of the central and eastern United States. Areas farther west, including the Midwest and Mississippi Valley, are expected to see highs surge into the 50s and 60s, reinforcing what forecasters often describe as a late-winter “spring tease.”
Precipitation outlooks indicate near to slightly above-normal precipitation during this period. Combined with rising temperatures, melting snowpack in western Maryland and periodic rainfall could lead to localized ponding, river rises, and minor flooding, particularly in low-lying and poor drainage areas.
Forecasters emphasize that this outlook reflects large-scale climate probabilities, not a day-to-day forecast. Winter conditions can still return later in February, and residents are encouraged to monitor local forecasts for updated details.
For commuters, students, and outdoor workers, the warmer stretch may provide temporary relief from winter cold, though rapidly changing weather remains possible.
