Baton Rouge, La. – A warmer-than-normal start to March is expected across Louisiana, with mild Gulf air favoring mostly rain from Sunday, March 1, through Thursday, March 5.
According to NOAA’s 6-10 day outlook issued Monday, Louisiana is favored to see above-normal temperatures during the March 1-5 stretch, while precipitation trends near to slightly above seasonal averages along the Gulf Coast. That warmer pattern eliminates any meaningful snow threat, with rain expected to be the primary precipitation type statewide.
In southeast Louisiana, including New Orleans and along the Interstate 10 corridor, passing rain showers are the most likely outcome as systems move through the Lower Mississippi Valley. Periods of steadier rainfall could create slick roadways and ponding, particularly in low-lying areas prone to drainage issues.
Central communities such as Baton Rouge and Alexandria may see multiple rounds of rain, especially if Gulf moisture feeds into passing disturbances. In northern Louisiana, including Shreveport and Monroe, rain should also dominate, with mild temperatures preventing any wintry concerns even during overnight hours.
Drivers should remain alert for reduced visibility during heavier showers and watch for standing water on roads, especially in urban areas. With temperatures trending above normal, early March will feel more like mid-spring across much of the Bayou State.
Additional refinements are expected later this week as the March 1-5 window approaches and system timing becomes clearer.


