Lake Charles, Louisiana – A developing tropical disturbance in the Gulf is expected to bring widespread heavy rain and flash flooding to south-central Louisiana and parts of Southeast Texas beginning late Wednesday and continuing through Saturday.
According to the National Hurricane Center, the system—currently moving west across Florida—will enter the northeastern Gulf of Mexico by midweek, with a 40% chance of tropical cyclone formation. While it may not reach tropical storm strength, the main threat will be dangerous rainfall totals, especially across western and southern Louisiana.
The National Weather Service in Lake Charles warns that the system could deliver 4 to 8 inches of rain, with locally higher amounts possible. Cities most at risk include Opelousas, Lafayette, Lake Charles, Jeanerette, Morgan City, and Pecan Island. Rain will begin spreading inland as early as Wednesday night, with the heaviest precipitation expected Thursday through Saturday.
In Southeast Texas, including Beaumont and Orange, rainfall totals of 1 to 3 inches are expected, with heavier bands possible near the Louisiana border. Flood-prone areas, especially those near rivers, bayous, and urban drainage systems, could quickly become overwhelmed.
“Regardless of development, heavy rain will pose a serious flash flooding threat,” the NWS stated Tuesday. “A few areas could see double the forecast totals where thunderstorms repeatedly track over the same locations.”
Residents are urged to prepare now by clearing drains, securing property, and reviewing emergency plans. Power outages and travel delays are possible as saturated ground combines with persistent rainfall.
A live update from NWS Lake Charles is scheduled for 2:00 p.m. Tuesday to discuss the storm’s trajectory and flood threat. Updates will continue as the system develops and moves west.
Flash flood watches may be issued as the storm nears. Stay alert and monitor weather.gov for the latest updates.