Frankfort, Ky. – A milder-than-normal start to March is shaping up across Kentucky, with warmer air favoring mostly rain from Sunday, March 1, through Thursday, March 5.
According to NOAA’s 6-10 day outlook issued Monday, Kentucky is favored to see above-normal temperatures during the March 1-5 stretch, while precipitation trends near to slightly above seasonal averages across the Ohio and Tennessee valleys. That warmer pattern significantly lowers the likelihood of widespread snow, with rain expected to be the primary precipitation type statewide.
In northern Kentucky, including Covington and areas along Interstate 71 and Interstate 75, passing rain showers are the most likely scenario as systems move through the region. Central communities such as Lexington and Frankfort may see periods of steadier rainfall that could create slick roadways during peak commute hours.
Farther west, including Louisville, Owensboro and Paducah, rain should dominate with little to no wintry concern. In southern Kentucky, including Bowling Green and Somerset, mild air will keep precipitation mainly liquid even during overnight hours.
Drivers should remain alert for reduced visibility and ponding on roadways during heavier showers, particularly in low-lying or poor-drainage areas. While a brief rain-snow mix cannot be ruled out in far northern fringe areas during early morning hours, temperatures are expected to stay warm enough to prevent accumulation.
Additional refinements are expected later this week as the March 1-5 window approaches and system timing becomes clearer.
