Louisville, KY – The Kentuckiana region may see a wet and occasionally chilly stretch during the Thanksgiving travel window, as new federal long-range outlooks show a 40–50% or higher chance of above-normal precipitation across the area from November 23 through November 29. With temperatures running marginal for snow, the region is expected to experience mostly cold rain, with only a brief chance for a rain–snow mix in a few spots.
According to the Climate Prediction Center’s 8–14 Day Outlook, Kentuckiana sits along the southern edge of a broad storm corridor stretching from the Midwest into the Ohio Valley. This pattern supports multiple rounds of rainfall from Louisville to southern Indiana and across north-central Kentucky. Despite the colder air operating just to the north, the majority of the region will remain warm enough to avoid widespread snow.
In southern Indiana, including Jeffersonville, New Albany, Clarksville, Scottsburg, and Seymour, temperatures may dip close to freezing during the early-morning hours. This creates a slim but notable chance of a brief wintry mix if moisture overlaps with cooler pockets—especially on the western and northwestern side of the metro.
Across north-central Kentucky, including Louisville, Shepherdsville, Shelbyville, and Bardstown, rain is the primary forecast. While temperatures may flirt with the mix line in elevated pockets east and south of the city, meaningful snow is unlikely.
The Bluegrass and I-65 corridor, including Elizabethtown, Frankfort, and La Grange, will also trend toward cold rain, though early-morning travelers could encounter patchy slick spots if temperatures briefly drop near freezing.
Thanksgiving week typically brings some of the heaviest traffic of the year along I-65, I-64, I-71, and the Ohio River bridges. Steady rainfall—especially during peak travel times—may reduce visibility and create slower drive times across the region.
Forecasters expect more precise storm timing next week as short-range models begin resolving individual systems moving through the Ohio Valley.
