Topeka, Kansas – Near-normal rainfall and well above-normal temperatures could impact Kansas Feb. 18-22, limiting winter weather risk statewide.
According to the National Weather Service 6-10 Day Outlook issued Thursday, Feb. 12, precipitation across Kansas is expected to remain near seasonal averages during the Feb. 18-22 period. However, temperatures carry an 80-90% probability of running above normal, signaling a sustained mild pattern across the central Plains.
Most of the state, including Wichita, Kansas City and Topeka, is expected to see primarily rain during any precipitation events. With temperatures trending well above average, the likelihood of widespread snow or ice remains low.
Northern Kansas, including areas near the Nebraska border such as Concordia and Hays, could see brief overnight temperature dips. However, significant winter accumulation is not currently projected.
The broader weather pattern supports heavier snowfall potential farther north across Minnesota and Wisconsin, while mixed precipitation extends through portions of the Midwest and Great Lakes. Across Kansas, the dominant trend remains mild with periodic rain chances.
For commuters and college students returning after President’s Day week, periods of steady rainfall could create slick travel conditions along Interstate 70, Interstate 35 and U.S. Highway 54 corridors, particularly during peak drive times.
The National Weather Service notes that 6-10 day outlooks reflect probability trends rather than exact storm totals. Residents are encouraged to monitor updated forecasts for refined rainfall timing and temperature details as the period approaches.
