Indianapolis, Indiana – Winter appears far from finished across Indiana as Groundhog Day tradition and long-range climate signals both suggest a delayed transition into spring. Punxsutawney Phil saw his shadow Monday morning, pointing to six more weeks of winter and pushing expectations for a widespread warm-up closer to mid-March.
According to the National Weather Service, Indiana falls into an “equal chances” category for temperatures from February through April. That designation means no strong signal for sustained warmth or prolonged cold, leaving room for late-season snow, icy mornings, and sharp temperature swings statewide. Northern Indiana, including Fort Wayne, South Bend, and Elkhart, remains vulnerable to lake-enhanced snow during colder stretches, while central and southern areas such as Indianapolis, Lafayette, and Evansville could see frequent shifts between snow, rain, and brief thaws.
Precipitation is expected to be a notable factor. According to NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, Indiana is favored for above-normal precipitation through early spring. That increases the risk for heavier snowfall during colder periods and rain during warmer breaks, raising concerns for slick travel on major routes like I-65, I-69, and I-70, along with river rises and localized flooding as snowmelt develops.
While the Farmers’ Almanac notes spring officially begins Friday, March 20, and highlights a total lunar eclipse early Tuesday, March 3, winter weather impacts may continue beyond those milestones. Hoosiers are encouraged to stay weather-aware, plan for variable travel conditions, and monitor future advisories, as winter hazards could remain part of the pattern into early spring.
