Houston, TX — Early-week heat is pushing toward record-setting territory across Southeast Texas, with temperatures running as much as 5 degrees from longstanding daily records. The National Weather Service in Houston/Galveston reports that the probability of tying or breaking a record varies widely through Wednesday, ranging from 0 to 25 percent on the cooler days and surging to 80 to 90 percent during the hottest periods.
Forecast graphics show that locations across the region—including Houston’s Intercontinental Airport, Hobby Airport, College Station, and Galveston—will all push into the lower to mid-80s through midweek. While none of the sites are guaranteed to break their records, several days come close enough to keep the possibility firmly in play.
At Houston IAH, forecast highs range from the low to mid-80s, approaching record values between 85° and 87°. Hobby Airport follows a similar trend, with highs forecast just below early-week record numbers. College Station shows one of the most dramatic spreads, where Sunday’s record stands at 90°, dropping through the week while forecasts hover in the mid-80s. Galveston is also expected to remain warm, with highs near 80° to 84°, placing the city within striking distance of its historical peaks.
The pattern behind this warmth comes from persistent subsidence and dry air over the region, allowing temperatures to climb above seasonal norms. At the same time, light winds and limited cloud cover support daily heating, especially over inland counties.
Although the heat is noteworthy for mid-November, forecasters emphasize that no dangerous heat-related impacts are expected. Instead, the main weather storyline is simply how unusual it is to sit this close to record territory so late in the year.
The warm stretch is expected to continue through at least midweek before a gradual cool-down arrives late in the week, bringing temperatures closer to seasonal averages.
