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Lincoln, NE – The Great Plains could see their first brush with winter weather before Thanksgiving, as colder air moves south from Canada later this month. The NOAA Climate Prediction Center (CPC) says a quiet, mild start to November will likely give way to a colder, more active pattern by mid- to late November.
According to NOAA’s October 24, 2025, outlook, North Dakota, South Dakota, Nebraska, and Kansas are trending above normal in temperature through early November. But as the jet stream shifts south mid-month, forecasters expect increased snow chances across the northern and central Plains, particularly between November 15–24.
That could mean light accumulations in parts of Nebraska and South Dakota, with colder, breezy weather spreading into Kansas and Oklahoma by Thanksgiving week. While no major winter storms are expected yet, even minor snow or ice could impact holiday travel across I-29 and I-80.
For most of the Plains, it’s still fall for now — but winter’s first real push appears to be right around the corner.
