Florida Weather Forecast: Scattered Thunderstorms to Hit Tampa Sunday — What It Means for Your 4th of July Plans

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Tampa, Fla. – Storms will begin building over Tampa Sunday afternoon, marking the start of a stormy, heat-driven pattern that could complicate Fourth of July plans.

According to the National Weather Service, showers and thunderstorms are likely in the Tampa area after 2 p.m. Sunday, with chances climbing to 70% by evening. Highs will reach 92°F, with a heat index near 105°F. The NWS advises residents to avoid travel during peak downpours, particularly on I-275 and I-4, where visibility could quickly drop.

Monday brings more of the same, with storms expected after 2 p.m. and highs near 89°F. Daily storm chances remain elevated through the week, including a 60% chance of thunderstorms on the Fourth of July. While no severe weather is currently predicted, repeated rainfall may lead to localized flooding in low-lying areas or poorly drained streets.

Residents should prepare for midday power disruptions, slow commutes, and muggy evenings. Charge electronics in advance and avoid outdoor grilling or fireworks under lightning risk.

This unsettled pattern follows typical summer conditions in central Florida but may be more prolonged than usual.


🔎 Six-Day Forecast: Tampa, FL

  • Sunday (June 29): Showers likely, thunder possible after 2 p.m. High: 92°F. Chance of rain: 70%.
  • Monday: Afternoon storms likely. Partly sunny. High: 89°F. Rain chance: 60%.
  • Tuesday: Storms continue after 2 p.m. High: 90°F. Rain chance: 60%.
  • Wednesday: Scattered storms. High: 89°F. Rain chance: 60%.
  • Thursday: Showers and storms likely after 2 p.m. High: 90°F. Rain chance: 60%.
  • Friday (4th of July): Similar pattern. Partly sunny, storms by afternoon. High: 90°F. Rain chance: 60%.

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