Tampa, Florida – Thunderstorms and brutal heat will dominate the start of the workweek across Florida as Tampa braces for a sweltering 96°F high on Monday, July 21st, with heat index values topping 107°F and afternoon storms likely to impact commutes and outdoor plans.
According to the National Weather Service, there’s a 40% chance of thunderstorms beginning after 2 p.m. Monday, with increasing risk into the evening. Winds will remain light, but the combination of heat and humidity will make it feel dangerously hot by mid-afternoon. A Heat Advisory remains possible if conditions continue trending hotter.
I-275 and local roadways around Hillsborough and Pinellas Counties could see reduced visibility, ponding water, and slowdowns by the evening rush. Some isolated storms may produce heavy rainfall and lightning, especially into Monday night, when chances of rain rise to 60%.
Tuesday and Wednesday bring even greater storm coverage, with 70–80% rain chances, especially in the afternoon and evening hours. Heavy rainfall is likely Wednesday, and lightning risks will persist through midweek.
Residents should limit strenuous activity outdoors, stay hydrated, and ensure mobile alerts are enabled. Summer heat combined with daily storms can change plans quickly.
🌦️ Five-Day Tampa Weather Outlook: July 21–26
- Monday: High 96°F, PM storms (40% chance)
- Tuesday: High 94°F, storms likely (70% chance)
- Wednesday: High 92°F, heavy rain expected (80% chance)
- Thursday: High 92°F, more storms (80% chance)
- Friday: High 94°F, scattered storms (60% chance)
- Saturday: Hot and stormy, high 95°F (50% chance)
Storm chances remain elevated into next weekend, with Tampa likely locked into a classic wet-season pattern through late July.
