Tampa, Florida – Residents across West Central and Southwest Florida should prepare for flooding this afternoon as heavy rain targets the region between 12 p.m. and 9 p.m. Thursday, especially in coastal and low-lying communities from Chiefland to Fort Myers.
According to the National Weather Service in Tampa Bay, a Level 1 excessive rainfall risk remains in effect, with widespread totals of 0.5 to 1 inch and localized pockets potentially reaching 3 inches. Forecasters warn of water ponding in poor drainage areas, urban streets, and flood-prone zones near Sarasota, Bradenton, Tampa, and Brooksville.
Localized flash flooding could disrupt evening commutes, especially near U.S. 41 and I-275. In Sarasota and Lakeland, 70–80% rain chances could result in short-term street flooding. Rain activity should taper off by nightfall, giving way to warmer, drier conditions over the weekend.
Drivers are urged to avoid flooded roads and monitor alerts from emergency management. If flooding occurs, turn around—don’t drown.
Though today marks the last day of elevated rainfall threat, scattered afternoon storms and highs in the mid-90s are expected through Monday.
🌤 Five-Day Florida Forecast (Tampa Bay Region)
Monday: 77/94°F – 40% storms, muggy conditions continue
Thursday: 76/93°F – 80% rain, flood risk noon–9 PM
Friday: 76/94°F – 40% chance of storms
Saturday: 77/95°F – 20% rain, hot and humid
Sunday: 77/95°F – 30% chance of isolated storms
