Florida Summer Weather Alert: Tampa Thunderstorms and Flash Flood Risk Thursday Through Saturday – Stay Off I-275 by 4 p.m.

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Tampa, Florida – Tampa residents should brace for several stormy days as a wave of intense thunderstorms targets the region just in time for the holiday weekend. A “summer weather alert” is in effect through at least Tuesday night, with widespread rain, thunder, and lightning expected to disrupt Fourth of July celebrations and local travel.

According to the National Weather Service, storms will roll in Thursday afternoon with a 90% chance of rain and gusty winds between 6 and 9 mph. Downpours could drop up to an inch of rain across Hillsborough County, especially near major roadways like I-275 and U.S. 92. Residents are urged to delay non-essential travel and stay indoors during afternoon storms.

Independence Day brings more of the same: a 90% chance of thunderstorms and a heat index near 99°F. The wet pattern continues into Friday night and Saturday, with lightning, localized flooding, and potential power outages remaining a concern across the region.

By Sunday night, storm coverage drops slightly, but showers are still likely through Tuesday. South winds will shift to the west and remain breezy at times, creating choppy conditions near the coast.

5-Day Tampa Weather Outlook (July 4–July 9)

  • Friday (July 4): High 90°F, 90% chance of storms, humid and breezy
  • Saturday: High 89°F, 80% chance of rain, scattered afternoon thunderstorms
  • Sunday: High 90°F, 50–80% chance of showers, gradually decreasing
  • Monday: High 92°F, storms possible after 2 p.m.
  • Tuesday: High 92°F, rain likely after 2 p.m., evening storms likely